About Forums PRM Exam Prep Forum Default and Rating Changes Correlation

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    Anonymous
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    Hi I have question regarding the topic of 3 EXAM.
    In the book there is such example:
    If the probabilities of default for obligors rated A and BB are PDef(A) = 0.0006 and PDef(BB) = 0.0106, respectively, and the correlation coefficient between the rates of return on the two assets is ????= 0.2, then the joint probability of default is only 0.000054.11 Now, using equation (III.B.5.1), we find that the correlation coefficient between the two default events is only 0.019.
    So I understand the formula of joint default probability P(A?B)=Default Correlation of A&B*?((P(A)(1-P(A) ) )(P(B)(1-P(B) ) ) )+ P(A)P(B). But I don’t understand how they got 0.000054.11 using correlation coefficient between the RATES OF RETURN on the two assets, because in this way you can’t use the formula above ( because there is used correlation coefficient between the two DEFAULT EVENTS).
    This question just blows my mind.

    Regards and Happy New Year

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